Tuesday, December 29, 2020

100 Years Ago and Today...

It's about time for me to utilize my analytical skills to help you see Covid-19 stats horizontally and vertically.  Attached below are the Covid-19 numbers from yesterday, 12/28/2020. 

Infected cases: US = 23.7% of the world

Deaths: US = 18.9% of the world

During the 1918-1920 Spanish Flu, US deaths = 1.35% of the world (675000 / 50mil = 1.35%).

US population in 1920 = 106.5mil.  US Spanish Flu death rate = 675000 / 106.5m = 0.63%.

US Covid-19 death rate (model projection through 3/31/2021) = 560000 / 331mil = 0.17%.  However, 3/2021 will not be the end of the Covid-19 death.

When reaching 675K deaths in later 2021, the US Covid-19 death rate = 675000 / 331mil = 0.20% (not much better than 100 years ago, when we didn't have vaccine or ventilators or Ecmo machines, etc.).

It's hard to comprehend the fact that 100 years later, with the most advanced medicine in the world, US in 2020-2021 will have at least 675K deaths from the pandemic, the same amount as the pandemic from 100 years ago.  Just take a minute to think about it -- if this is not stunning, what is????? 

I hate to express all these deaths as numbers.  Dr. Michelle called me late Sunday night crying -- because of the overwhelming amount of the dying patients in her ICU unit... So many people's lives have been deeply impacted and altered, forever.  Take a minute to let it sink in.  Cherish life and share love with those who are in need.
 

 



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